Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.075799 1.291874 1.563080 1.937629 2.457195 3.178865 4.310597
2026-02-01 0.803238 1.054157 1.416559 2.013031 3.054009 5.012942 9.790275
2026-02-08 0.645613 0.893034 1.282689 2.004154 3.500036 7.175854 22.038236
2026-02-15 0.539242 0.771940 1.160303 1.942080 3.793703 9.557371 52.425695
2026-02-22 0.483083 0.714381 1.122695 2.017398 4.468767 14.762863 287.659327
2026-03-01 0.433090 0.655784 1.065633 2.024662 4.991173 21.690572 39037.337903
2026-03-08 0.388062 0.597526 0.994730 1.970547 5.291173 29.745328 NaN
2026-03-15 0.354526 0.554505 0.944606 1.949408 5.719712 44.074282 NaN
2026-03-22 0.340316 0.544640 0.960334 2.111832 7.188244 111.004286 NaN
2026-03-29 0.322730 0.525552 0.951753 2.202846 8.544101 334.970849 NaN
2026-04-05 0.301604 0.496697 0.915405 2.193280 9.351162 1119.381412 NaN
2026-04-12 0.280092 0.464637 0.866202 2.123851 9.675756 4771.826644 NaN
2026-04-19 0.265726 0.446006 0.847167 2.158483 11.047726 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.255304 0.434388 0.843487 2.251455 13.423922 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.241708 0.414621 0.815936 2.241822 14.803851 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.227163 0.391479 0.776306 2.169048 15.241409 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.219843 0.383194 0.774418 2.257561 18.754721 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.210466 0.369514 0.755937 2.266112 21.212563 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.199702 0.351888 0.724314 2.202491 21.981058 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.191019 0.338253 0.702139 2.177673 23.843398 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.188896 0.339167 0.721084 2.368864 34.984269 NaN NaN
2026-06-21 0.184494 0.334455 0.723104 2.476488 46.974756 NaN NaN
2026-06-28 0.177650 0.323531 0.705184 2.465160 53.587909 NaN NaN